No rest for the weary. The very active weather pattern continues in our area. A new severe thunderstorm watch was issued for north-central Wisconsin around 3pm. The watch is in effect until 9 pm. It does not include any areas in SE Wisconsin, however, Calumet, Winnebago, and Manitowoc counties are included. Right now, the storms are hitting Wausau and are moving ESE. That should keep the storms north of our area, but I will keep a close eye on them. The biggest threat will be large hail.
The above image is from the Storm Prediction Center. You can see the counties included in the watch. There are also storms erupting in SE Minnesota, but I do not think those storms will reach us. The storms will die down as the sun sets.
The SPC does have our northern counties in a slight risk for the rest of the day.
A nice break from storms should arrive on Wednesday, before we ramp up the possibility of severe weather and heavy rain on Thursday.
The RPM computer model keeps the heaviest rain in Iowa, but this will have to be monitored closely.
The above image is from the RPM model for 1pm Thursday. I think it may be underplaying the thunderstorms in our area. The warm front will be moving through the area on Thursday bringing a lot of moisture with it.
Even with all the rain that most of the area has picked up in the last 6 weeks, our southern counties are actually very dry. Walworth and Kenosha counties have missed most of the rain lately. Hopefully, they can pick up some appreciable rainfall on Thursday.
Thanks for reading and have a great day.