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Thank you for stopping by the Weather Watch 12 blog! Before we talk about our next potential snow, let’s look at our averages and extremes for the month of February.
If you are eagerly awaiting the arrival of Spring, February usually gives us a taste or two. Just last year on February 10, it was 59 degrees in Milwaukee! The warmest reading ever during the month was 68 degrees on February 11, 1999.
Now let’s check out how much our averages change from the 1st to the 28th of this month.
1st 29 15
28th 37 22
A nice jump up in temperatures, and also keep in mind the amount of daylight also takes a big jump.
1st 5:04 p.m.
28th 5:40 p.m.
While no Spring-like weather is in our forecast for the next week. Our focus is shifting to how a storm will track on Friday, and its potential impacts here in Southeast Wisconsin.
Let’s start by looking at a forecast surface map for Friday at 6 p.m. This map is a forecast, and shows the main area of low pressure over the Southeast. This is not a favorable track to bring our area heavy snow, but light snow may still be possible.
The exact track of this storm will determine if we see flurries or several inches of snow. Temperatures during this timeframe will likely be in the 20s to low 30s, so whatever we see may be a slightly ‘wetter’ snow.
Here are two different scenarios for the track and resultant precipitation/snow for Friday. One computer model we use moves the storm farther north and as a result would put down anywhere from 1 to maybe as much as 3 inches of snow across parts of our area. Again this is just ONE model. Below is the liquid amount from the 12Z GFS. That second shade of green over Milwaukee translates to 0.10″ to 0.25″ of precipitation.
Now the very latest data from the 18Z NAM. This is another model we look when making a forecast. The map below shows the total liquid precipitation forecast for this system on Friday. Notice how this particular model is forecasting anywhere from nothing to maybe a dusting of snow.
One thing is clear right now. The heaviest of the precipitation is going to stay well to our south. I think on Friday we see light snow and flurries. Forecast accumulations for this day will be fine tuned and updated in the blog and on our newscasts.
We will continue to track this potential snow and as the latest data rolls into our forecast center we will pass it along and try to put a number on the amount of snow we are expecting!
Don’t foreget, there are many ways to stay updated with our forecasts anytime of day! Make sure to join us on our Facebook Fan Page: WeatherWatch 12 and our updates are always on Twitter! Have a great day!