Looking Ahead to Forties!!!

I hope everyone had a wonderful weekend. February comes to an end in an appropriate manner. I say that because it has been a cloudy month with no real cold and no real warmth. The coldest temperature in February was 11 degrees on the 12th. The warmest was 38 degrees on the 18th and 19th. Usually we would get at least one or two days in the 40s and we normally would have a few days with below zero temperatures. Milwaukee has not had a single below zero temperature all winter. It becomes very unlikely to go below zero in March.

Now, it is time to look ahead. The first couple of days this week will be cool with highs in the 30s, but as the week goes on the highs will make it to the 40s. This is the first time we will have temps in the 40s since January 24th when it was 43 degrees.

The above image is the GFS model depicting surface temperatures well into the 40s for all of Southeast Wisconsin. The warm air will be drawn north due to a strong low pressure center developing in the Great Plains.

The aforementioned storm is going to be a very wet one for us. The key to what type of precipitation we will get from this strong storm will be the track of the low. At this point, it looks like the low will go to the west and north of our area. That means warm air keeps the majority of the precipitation as rain and not snow. If this storm moves in as expected we could get an inch of rain. This will go a long way to melting a lot of snow, but we will have to watch closely for the potential of flooding. Stay with weather watch 12 for the latest. Thanks for reading.

Mark

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5 Responses

  1. Once again you R my HERO buddy 🙂

  2. Mark, doesn’t that storm look kinda familiar?

    -Scott

    • Mark, you may end up with the typical rain changing to snow from this thing. There may be a surprise on the backend of this yet.

      As the AO continues to rise, it is allowing the surface low paths to drift northeastward a bit and have a bit easier time to take a preferred track without it being pushing down into the southern stream or pulling back into the Northern Plains.

      May be fun for you yet…[if snow is fun]

      • Thanks, Scott,

        I’ll keep a close eye on it.

        Mark

        p.s. snow is fun in December.

  3. No Dan, you are my hero.

    Scott, it certainly does. I’ve seen this once or twice already.

    Mark

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