The clouds were a bit stubborn this morning, but the sun came through this afternoon for a beautiful day. This is just the beginning of a super stretch of weather. The lake will keep things a bit cooler (5-7 degrees) the next few days, but it will still be quite comfortable everywhere. Last St. Patrick’s day the high was a record 75 degrees. It won’t be quite that warm on Wednesday, but should still warm into the 50s. Thursday and Friday may bring a strong enough southwest wind that will keep the lake breeze at bay. This would warm everyone up close to 60 degrees.
The above image is the GFS forecast for surface temperatures on Thursday afternoon. I believe the model is actually downplaying the warm air for us. The key will be whether the wind is strong enough and west enough to hold the cold temps of Lake Michigan over the lake.
The next question is the big storm for the weekend and what types of precipitation it brings. As nice as it will be this week, it will be pretty crummy this weekend. Saturday looks to be all rain, but colder air could change the rain to snow on Sunday. It is way too early to tell how much, but if the GFS model is right, we could be in for several inches. Take a look:
The above image is for 1PM on Sunday. This would equate to heavy, wet snow for us. We will play a wait and see for a few days before getting too excited about this. Stay tuned.