***Watch WISN 12 News for the latest on the potential for severe weather!***
Thank you for stopping by the Weather Watch 12 Blog! In yesterday’s blog I asked which season do you prefer…winter or summer. The results were somewhat surprising, since I thought summer would win hands down! Below is the percentage breakdown of how you voted.
- Summer 52%
- Winter 48%
I have a feeling the prolonged days of hot and humid weather, along with the flooding rains and numerous tornadoes have had many saying enough is enough, let’s change seasons!
Speaking of tornadoes, the National Weather Service updated the statewide tornado count recently. Through Tuesday, August 17, 2010, 38 tornadoes have been documented in Wisconsin. This makes 2010 tied with the 3rd busiet tornado year on record. Here is a list of the top 3 tornado years on record.
- #1 62 tornadoes, 2005
- #2 43 tornadoes, 1980
- #3 38 tornadoes, 2008
- #3 38 torandoes, 2010
Since it is only August 19, I think there is a good chance we add to this total, keep in mind this is statewide. On average Wisconsin see’s 21 tornadoes each year.
While the setup is not very good for tornadoes in our part of the the state on Friday, there is a chance of severe weather. Remember for severe weather to occur these ingredients must be in place: moisture, lift, and instability.
By Friday afternoon a warm front will push through the upper Midwest and into the western Great Lakes. This will swing by near the peak of afternoon heating. As a result showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop. Below is the forecast position of the low and warm front at 7 p.m. The green shaded area represents the possibility of rain/storms. Just click on the image to enlarge.
While a few showers or t-storms could be around for the start of Friday, the focus will be on the afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center’s outlook for Friday does place much of southern Wisconsin in the slight risk for severe storms. Breaking this down even further, the map below shows the percentage probability of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
The main severe weather threats would include hail and strong winds. We’ll watch this closely, but the better chance for severe weather in Wisconsin may reside in central and northern parts of the state. If severe weather does occur, turn to WISN 12 for the latest information.
In the meantime, Thursday will be mainly dry, but just a slight chance of an afternoon/evening shower or t-storm. Warmer and more humid with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Hang in there, Fall isn’t too far away, but it is still August and we are staring at another stretch of warm and humid days.
Have a great day!