The forecasted “bomb” is still set to arrive over the next two days. If the forecast holds true, this could be one of the strongest low pressure centers I have ever seen. I went back to look at the pressure readings from the Edmund Fitzgerald storm on November 10, 1075 and the November 10, 1998 storm. The barometric pressure from the Edmund Fitzgerald storm was 28.95″ of mercury. This is comparable to a Category 1 hurricane. The pressure from the 1998 storm was 28.45″. This is like a Category 2 hurricane. The forecasted pressure for the storm on Tuesday and Wednesday is 28.31″ If this occurs, it would likely be a new record for lowest pressure in our area. The lowest pressure ever recorded in the United States not from a tropical system was 28.28″ in Cleveland, Ohio on January 26, 1978. This was known as the Great Blizzard of 1978. Amazing stuff. I will be watching this closely.
What does this all mean? It means that we will have very high winds for the next few days that could bring wind gusts to 60 mph. The November 10, 1998 storm had winds gusts in our area over 80 mph in a few spots. This is a dangerous storm. Take a look at the 1998 storm write-up from Storm Data.
Here is the timeline of the upcoming storm. First, a line of storms will fire along the cold front arriving in our area between 4 and 9 am. Here is what the RPM is forecasting for 6 am.
This line of storms may be able to tap into very strong winds just above the surface and transition those down to the ground. If this occurs, damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph are certainly possible. After the storms move through, the winds may die down temporarily, but not for long. The entire area is under a High Wind Warning from 7am Tuesday to 7pm Wednesday.
Winds will be very strong all day Tuesday. Sustained winds will be between 25 and 40 miles per hour with gusts to 60. The winds will slacken a bit on Tuesday night to 20-35, but pick up again on Wednesday to 25-40. This is a very long-duration event. There is a good possibility of trees down, power outages, and airport delays.
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Thanks for reading and stay safe the next few days.