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Thank you for stopping by the Weather Watch 12 Blog! If you missed yesterday’s blog entry on the cycling weather pattern, check it out right after today’s entry.
The focus right now is on the big push of cold air that will spread across the area over the next 36 hours. Snow showers were occurring in northern Wisconsin Friday morning. As the cold air drifts south, any leftover moisture could fall as either sprinkles/brief rain shower, or the first flurries of the season! The chances are small to see snowflakes later Thursday since the really cold air arrives almost after the moisture moves out of southeast Wisconsin.
Still, there’s a chance! Below is the GFS precipitation type forecast. This shows blue over southeast Wisconsin at 7 p.m. Thursday. This one model indicates that snow flurries are possible! If there are a few flurries, no snow accumulation is expected.
If you are wondering when the first snowflakes typically occur in Milwaukee, here are the average first measurable snow and first one inch dates.
- First Measurable November 11
- First One Inch November 30
Now let’s check out when the first trace or more of snow has occurred over the past 5 years in Milwaukee. There is a big range, so basically anytime from mid-October thru November the first snowflakes of the season could fall!
- 2009 November 25
- 2008 October 26
- 2007 November 15
- 2006 October 11
- 2005 November 15
Even if we miss the snow, we will not escape the cold temperatures. Below is a temperature forecast map for 1 p.m. Friday, from our in-house high resolution computer model. Highs on Friday will be in the low 40s…the coldest high temps since last April 8!
If you like milder weather, say highs in the 50s to around 60, hang in there. Another push of mild air will surge our way on Sunday and Monday. Highs should be around 60 both days! Below is a forecast surface map from the HPC. The warm front to our west will move by Sunday afternoon. Winds will be gusty out of the southwest, and adding in some sunshine it looks like a mild end to the upcoming weekend!
If you do see snowflakes where you live late Thursday, please post your weather report to the comments section of the blog! You can also get our weather updates and interact with the weather team on our Facebook page at WeatherWatch 12
Have a great day!