Busy times in the weather center. You want a nice quiet week of weather for Christmas travel, but it does not look like that is going to happen. It was a beautiful Sunday with highs in the middle 20s and plenty of sunshine. Nice winter day. People are already enjoying ice fishing on Big Cedar Lake in Washington county.
This was sent to Weather Watch 12 from Dan who was way too leery to take his truck out on the ice. Please make sure there is at least 10 inches of ice before driving on the ice. Area lakes may still be shallow in many areas, especially ones that were covered with snow. The snow acts like an insulating blanket and the ice may be thin in some spots.
Now, on to the advisory and round one of snowfall. The entire viewing area is affected.
The snowfall will arrive Monday evening and last throughout the night. A general two to four inches is expected. A few spots in our western counties may touch 5″. There may be a little bit of freezing drizzle on Tuesday morning after the snow stops. Tuesday morning’s commute will be a tough one. Here is the RPM computer model output for snow in our area.
Not a huge storm, but certainly enough for tough travel early Tuesday. Wednesday will bring a nice quiet day good for travel. Most of Thursday will be dry, but late in the day another round of snow could move in. We are on the northern edge of this storm, but snow is still likely. If the track of the low moves farther north, we could be dealing with a lot of snow. Stay tuned. Here is the latest GFS forecast(This model has not performed too well this winter.) from the midday run.
There is a fair amount of moisture to work with for this low pressure center. Way too early to apply any totals, but please watch closely and be aware that travel from Milwaukee south on Friday may be very difficult.
The Canadian model is similar to the GFS Friday morning, but the European has the low a little farther south. Take a look.
I will be watching closely. Thanks for reading.