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Thank you for stopping by the Weather Watch 12 Blog! Light snow swept through southeastern Wisconsin Monday evening into early Tuesday. This snow was more of a ‘nuisance’ than anything. Thank you to everyone who posted totals to our Facebook page at WeatherWatch 12! Don’t forget you can always leave totals in the comments section of the blog too.
Here is a look at totals around our area!
- Burlington 2.9″
- Brookfield 2.8″
- New Berlin 2.0″
- Franksville 2.0″
- Glendale 2.0″
- Fort Atkinson 1.9″
- Racine 1.5″
- Random Lake 1.0″
- Milwaukee 1.0″
- Slinger 1.0″
- Sheboygan(Lakeshore) <1″
For the rest of Tuesday a few flurries or pockets of drizzle are possible as this weak storm departs. The question now turns to what lies ahead moving into the Christmas holiday.
If you follow the blog you know that I use a weather pattern theory called the LRC, or Lezak’s Recurring Cycle. This weather pattern theory states that once the weather pattern sets up in the Fall, it begins to cycle. The pattern is unique each year, and once again the pattern is cycling! This year’s cycle length is around 46-48 days.
Last week in the blog we took a look at the long range forecast thru the end of January, just scroll down a few blog entries and check it out!
One of the big stories around the country right now is the heavy rain and snow in the West. The rain and snow in that part of the country will likely hang arond another day or two. Below is the 500mb forecast map from the NAM computer model, just click to enlarge. Keep in mind the 500mb level is the middle of the atmosphere.
Now let’s look back roughly 46 days to November 6. Again an upper low is present near southern California. Also present is a ridge in the Plains, and a trough in the East. The main features in this cycling weather pattern line up very close to the forecast map above for December 22.
Now a few people may be wondering about what the pattern looks like around Christmas. When I did the long range forecast last week based on the LRC, I said that I do not expect a major storm for our area on the 24th or 25th. That is something I still believe. But could there be light snow?
Below is the 500mb forecast map from the NAM for December 24. The main feature on this map to focus on is the small upper low over the Plains. If we are going to see snow on Christmas Eve, this would be the feature that would produce it.
If we look back 46 days to November 8, this feature tracked from southern California into the northern Plains. The feature on the map below from November 8 I’m referring to is over the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota. The rest of the features are also present. The trough in the West was farther east back in November due to the ridge being stronger in the Pacific. Overall though this is another great example of this year’s cycling weather pattern.
We’ll keep an eye on that chance of light snow around the 24th, but certainly the models are trending this lower each day.
As discussed in the long range foreast I issued last week, I’m still expecting a larger storm to take shape to close the month, and that will be followed by another blast of cold air! If you love wintry weather, get ready for a pretty exciting January!
Have a great day!