It was yet another morning to wake up to a coating of white. Certainly not a lot of snow, but officially .6″ fell in Milwaukee. That makes 20 of 24 days this month with a trace or more of snow. No big snows, but a whole lot of little ones. For the month we have received 14.5″. That is 2 1/2″ above average. For the season, we stand at 22.8″. A deficit of exactly five inches. I will be curious to see this pattern when it returns in March. Will it continue to be all snow or will some rain begin to mix in.
Speaking of rain, it may actually be warm enough on Friday to support rain and not snow. Perhaps even a chance of freezing rain at the outset. The low position continues to look to stay well north of Milwaukee, but the models are now coming into consensus that this is going to be a strong low pressure center. Not a surprise for the dedicated followers of the LRC. Jeremy did a nice job in yesterday’s blog comparing the upcoming storm to the October and December storms. A strong low pressure center does not necessarily mean a big amount of rain or snow. If the Gulf of Mexico is not open for business(and it does not look like it will be), we will be lacking moisture to play with. That means a big wind-maker for us on Friday night and Saturday. Here are three models showing the late-week storm. I’ll start with the Canadian model. All three models I show are for 6pm Friday evening.
The European model:
Finally, the GFS:
I think the most amazing thing about watching this storm come together is that just a few days ago, there was next to nothing on the models picking up any kind of storm for the upper midwest. All of a sudden, to no surprise of the LRC followers, up pops the storm. This is what started making me a believer of the LRC last winter. Very cool.
Now, back to the storm. As the low looks to stay north, as it did in October and December, it will bring in mild air ahead of the low. I am expecting the temperatures to rise well into the thirties on Friday. This may keep much of the precipitation as rain and not snow. At this point, it does not look like a huge amount of precipitation. If you go back to the October version of this storm, we received just over 1/2″ of rain. In December, it was almost 1″ of rain and 10″ of snow in our northern counties. Stay tuned all week. Thanks for reading.