Forget 40, how about 50 in February?

For the second day in a row our temperatures topped 40 degrees. The last time that happened was December 31, 2010 – January 1, 2011. The snow continues to melt rapidly. Our current snow depth is down to 8 inches. On February 2nd, the snow depth was 17″. Take a look at the visible satellite from the plains. Watch the snow disappear in just two days.

Touch the image above to watch it go from February 11th to February the 13th and watch the snow melt before your eyes.

The warm weather will stick around all week and 50s are possible on Thursday. Check out the RPM forecast for Thursday afternoon.

Check out the 70s pushing to Omaha and the 60s making it all the way to La Crosse. The only fly in the ointment in this forecast is if we have such a thick fog/low cloud overcast that the temperatures will be held down.  The southwest wind on Thursday may be strong enough to mix the drier air aloft down to the surface. There is a lot of extra moisture at the low levels right now due to all of the melting. This can often lead to fog and low clouds. Even if we have the clouds/fog, I still think our temperature will approach 50 degrees. One thing I am sure of, by the end of this week we will have very little snow left on the ground.

The next shot of precipitation comes on Friday, but the low stays north and west of us. That means rain as opposed to snow. The rainfall looks to be pretty light. The GFS and Euro are in good agreement on this and it matches the LRC well.

The low will be fairly strong. This will bring us strong winds on Friday and as the low passes by to the north temperatures will drop during the day.

Enjoy the taste of spring.

Mark

Advertisements

6 Responses

  1. At the end of the week you should add visible satellite images from this Wednesday and Friday to those other two. I’m guessing only northern Minnesota and North Dakota will be showing white by then.

    • I’ll try to do that Daniel. Clouds may cause some problems though.

      Mark

  2. a question about the LRC : A friend & I were discussing your blog & the LRC awhile back and he asked was the hurricane season influenced by the LRC. On reflection I said probably not as it kicked off just as the LRC was beginning to weaken. Later though I began to wonder – given the timing of the hurricane season & the fact that a new LRC just begins to establish itself as the cyclone season winds down – is there a correlation between the two or just coincidence?

    Rodd in South Milwaukee

    • Rodd,

      That certainly is a good question. I think the hurricane season can in part be viewed by the LRC. The ridge in the southeast and its strength or location can play a huge role in hurricane development and the track. Since the LRC breaks down in late summer, it may be tough to pinpoint exact storms or the timing. But I do think if enough research was done that we could show the LRC and role it plays in early season tropical development.

      Jeremy

  3. Jeremy, what are the chances that when the signature storm returns in late March that we get another two feet of snow? Might it be a rain event instead?

    • Bryan,

      In my mind it may be a ‘classic’ Spring storm with a major winter storm in areas and a severe weather outbreak in the warm sector. Outside of having an idea where it should track, I can’t say rain or snow at this point. But by late March the average high is in the mid-40s, so I would lean toward a rain to maybe snow event.

      Jeremy

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: