Happy Presidents’ Day! It was another crazy weather day in SE Wisconsin. Totals ranged from 0″ to 14″. This makes forecasting a lot of fun, but quite stressful. Take a look at the totals map for our area.
Look at the incredible difference across Milwaukee county. From around an inch in Oak Creek to eight inches in Bayside. The heaviest totals were in our northern counties:
Oostburg: 14″, Random Lake: 13″, Cedarburg: 11″, Sheboygan: 10.9″, West Bend: 10″
Milwaukee received 2.8″. That brings our February total to 22.3″. This is 13.4″ above average for the month. The snow total for the season is 49.6″. 9.7″ above average.
This was a much different snow than the blizzard. The moisture content was very high. It was difficult to shovel because of all the weight of the water in the snow.
Another round of light snow is expected for tonight. As the temperatures drop, the lake enhancement could kick in. So far, that has not happened. I’m only expecting 1″-3″ across the area.
There is a winter weather advisory in effect until 6am Tuesday for all of SE Wisconsin.
It is a borderline advisory with most of the snow coming tonight and only 1-3″ likely. The wind will be brisk out of the east at 15-30 miles per hour blowing this powdery snow around.
After this round blows by, the questions arise about the next storm on Thursday night and Friday. Using the LRC, Lezak’s Recurring Cycle, let’s take a look at Friday’s storm versus the last time we had this pattern in early January. Let’s compare the GFS 500mb forecast map for Friday morning vs. January 6th of this year. There are some differences but the overall upper level features are there. The January pattern is more meridional. (More wavy) The forecast for Friday is much more zonal. (East to West). The upper low on the west coast is in a significantly different position. Off California coast vs. Pacific Northwest. Truth be told, I’m not sure how this difference will impact our next storm. The last time this system came through it stayed well to our south. I would think the storm on Friday will also stay to our south.
I will be happy to hear from the LRC experts for their take on late this week. I’m still watching and learning. The LRC was a great help with Sunday’s storm. Most of you will recall the models were all over the place and too far south with the low for much of the week. Using the LRC as another model, it was very interesting to watch the models fall into line as the storm got closer. Thanks for reading.